English Translation

Subject: Finnish-Russian conflict. I. The situation of Finland. All serious foreign observers and all interested Finnish circles agree on the following three points in their assessment of Finland's military situation and the resulting prospects for the future: 1. Finland will be able to maintain its current military position until spring of this year, unless events evade itself at the moment after any calculation. 2. In the late spring or summer of this year, however, the Red Army is expected to be able to break the Finnish resistance; if Finland is not granted military aid from abroad, it is expected that it will be in a position to break it. 3. Under today's foreign policy circumstances, no such sufficient military aid can be expected in a foreseeable time. On these three points, the following can be said in detail: 1. The previous course of the country war has clearly demonstrated the superiority of the Finnish army over the Russian troops deployed on this front. The efforts of the Rüssian army to force the breakthrough on the Karelian Landenge under penetration of the so-called "Mannerheim Line" have not yet led to any decisive success. The Finns had cleared the apron right at the beginning of the operations and added considerable losses to the advancing Russians through refined mines, meanwhile the Russians have reached the Mannerheim line and are in their southern part - 2 -